Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 7.043411 7.790400 8.621474 9.622222 10.804849 12.171000 13.888037
2025-02-09 6.063818 7.096460 8.349940 10.016116 12.225500 15.137292 19.419010
2025-02-16 5.376732 6.514797 7.974309 10.045957 13.025194 17.362476 24.621605
2025-02-23 4.996617 6.227420 7.879253 10.359772 14.196741 20.337528 32.079979
2025-03-02 4.499755 5.709509 7.381294 9.987234 14.225120 21.486244 36.876698
2025-03-09 4.135276 5.328266 7.019212 9.743549 14.380504 22.854851 42.775569
2025-03-16 3.866212 5.052035 6.772597 9.632146 14.718104 24.633844 50.664715
2025-03-23 3.740699 4.968240 6.798755 9.956094 15.883579 28.438738 66.843876
2025-03-30 3.489816 4.676688 6.473610 9.638571 15.768931 29.416492 75.499626
2025-04-06 3.260752 4.401545 6.150197 9.283774 15.514436 29.992674 83.479275
2025-04-13 3.053408 4.146332 5.838812 8.915704 15.170673 30.254394 90.724968
2025-04-20 2.927909 4.009506 5.708861 8.862572 15.483523 32.358431 109.384405
2025-04-27 2.916138 4.061834 5.915763 9.506720 17.582716 40.895091 189.427827
2025-05-04 2.851295 4.027275 5.977306 9.894093 19.253430 49.639754 334.949104
2025-05-11 2.737795 3.904041 5.870834 9.923417 20.041871 55.998251 545.140738
2025-05-18 2.674020 3.857748 5.895855 10.231545 21.685945 67.741402 1304.864382
2025-05-25 2.526775 3.660990 5.628913 9.865749 21.304365 69.646695 1948.622887
2025-06-01 2.408200 3.506475 5.429047 9.626410 21.252368 73.463427 3706.595358
2025-06-08 2.315373 3.390938 5.293582 9.516977 21.582867 80.070456 12883.993835
2025-06-15 2.279813 3.372165 5.339634 9.835167 23.408966 99.501328 NaN
2025-06-22 2.176158 3.228197 5.133113 9.523288 23.003148 102.171773 NaN
2025-06-29 2.075388 3.085007 4.919951 9.174695 22.396155 102.736494 NaN
2025-07-06 1.979410 2.946556 4.708923 8.812944 21.674729 101.770324 NaN